|
I expect this
winter to be colder and drier than last winter. Now, I can say
that with moderate confidence because last winter was very wet
and rather mild. But on the whole I do not expect a cold winter
but one that will probably end up average or slightly above
regarding temperature and rainfall. I do expect there may be a
few blocking scenarios leading to outbreaks of cold, Continental
air and even a flake or two of snow, though probably nothing of
real significance and relatively short-lived. |
|
|
|
Forecast |
Actual |
|
December: |
A mixed month that starts
off cold(ish) and becomes milder after the first week. The
potential for wet and windy weather increases especially from
the 3rd week onwards. |
Mean Minimum = 4°C
(+0.6°C)
Mean Maximum = 11°C (+1.1°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 85 hrs (100%)
Total Monthly Rain = 80 mm
(85%) |
Mean Minimum = 3.0°C
(-0.3°C)
Mean Maximum = 10.3°C (+1.0°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 101 hrs (123%)
Total Monthly Rain =
36.5 mm
(43%) |
January:
|
With a strong Jet Stream I
expect mild, wet unsettled weather to dominate though
short-lived, anticyclonic or blocking situations could occur and
may become more frequent as the month progresses. The latter
could see brief incursions of cold Arctic and Continental air. |
Mean Minimum = 3°C
(+0.0°C)
Mean Maximum = 10°C (+0.5°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 85 hrs (120%)
Total Monthly Rain = 100 mm
(120%) |
Mean Minimum = 3.2°C
(+0.1°C)
Mean Maximum = 10.1°C (+1.2°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 105 hrs (158%)
Total Monthly Rain = 73 mm
(89%) |
|
February: |
The potential for blocking
situations to arrive heralding drier, calmer but colder weather
may increase. This could bring the first below average month for
temperature since August 2014. If there is any snow this winter
then it probably will happen during this month. |
Mean Minimum = 2°C
(-1.0°C)
Mean Maximum = 9°C (+0.0°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 90 hrs (105%)
Total Monthly Rain = 60 mm
(100%) |
Mean Minimum = 1.6°C
(-1.1°C)
Mean Maximum = 9.2°C (+0.4°C)
Total Monthly
Sun = 109 hrs (134%)
Total Monthly Rain = 56 mm
(91%) |
|
The Otter Valley Spring
Fantasy-Forecast will appear here around the end of February |
